La Liga, Atlético Madrid Vs Valencia: stats and predictions
On 13 December 2025, Atlético Madrid will host Valencia CF in what promises to be a compelling La Liga showdown at the Estadio Riyadh Air Metropolitano. As the two teams prepare to face off, several storylines are building: the betting odds, recent form, standings, and even some off-pitch transfer drama.
Bookmakers’ predictions & key statistics
Atlético Madrid are strong favorites in this matchup. In their head-to-head history, the two sides have met 40 times: Atlético have won 21 of those, while Valencia have managed only six victories, with 13 draws. Bookmakers lean heavily toward Atlético, largely because of their superior home form.
Although the statistics suggest a slight advantage for the Colchoneros, Valencia is certainly not a team to be underestimated, even if the league table suggests they’re in a bit of a slump. However, this could be a good opportunity to take advantage of promotions dedicated to new members of online gaming platforms. For example, you can see all the promo codes from Betfair and choose the one that best suits your needs to bet on a victory for Gayà and his teammates.
Atlético Madrid: La Liga position and form
Atlético is enjoying a solid campaign so far. According to current standings, they sit in 4th place in La Liga, underlining their status as real contenders for European qualification. Under Diego Simeone, the Colchoneros have built resilience and consistency: at home, they are particularly dangerous, averaging 2.71 points per game, while overall they collect 2.08 PPG.
According to FootyStats, their xG (expected goals) also reflects a team that both creates chances (1.71 xG) and defends well. Striker Julián Álvarez has been crucial, contributing both goals and assists, and his form is central to Atlético’s attacking threat.
Valencia: struggles and survival battle
Valencia, on the other hand, are enduring a difficult season. Based on their current standing, they are hovering just above the relegation zone, in 17th place, per the latest La Liga data. Their form has been erratic, with only 0.83 points per game overall, 1.33 PPG at home, and a disastrous 0.33 PPG on the road.
Their xG tells a similar story: with just 1.15 xG per match and 1.61 xGA, the squad often fails to convert opportunities and concedes too easily. Under head coach Carlos Corberán, Valencia have shown flashes of potential, but defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency continue to haunt them.
Transfer rumours & off-pitch drama
As always, the transfer window’s whispers add extra spice to the clash. One of the biggest stories surrounds Atlético’s own Julián Álvarez. As reported by BeinSports, during a recent interview with L’Equipe, Alvarez said: “There’s a lot of talk about me and Barcelona in Spain. Last year there were also discussions with PSG, but nothing happened. For now, I’m focused on Atlético. We’ll see what happens at the end of the season”. Despite external interest and speculation about a possible exit in 2026/27, Atlético seem intent on keeping their Argentine star.
The 13 December encounter between Atlético Madrid and Valencia is more than just another matchday fixture. With Atlético pushing for high finishes and Valencia battling for survival, the stakes are high. The betting markets favor the home side, bolstered by their strong head-to-head dominance and goal-scoring potential.
Meanwhile, off-field dynamics, especially surrounding Álvarez, add an extra layer of intrigue. For Atlético, a win could strengthen their credentials; for Valencia, an upset would be a lifeline. Either way, it’s a game that promises tension, high drama, and possibly, pivotal moments for both clubs.