St Louis v LA Galaxy Bet Builder Stats & Predictions
St Louis v LA Galaxy
Kick Off: 21:30, Saturday 14th June
Competition: MLS
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This clash pits the Western Conference’s bottom two sides against each other, with both desperate for a victory to spark their faltering seasons. St Louis have shown marginally better form than their opponents, securing three wins from their 17 matches compared to LA Galaxy’s solitary victory. That lone Galaxy win came in their most recent outing against Real Salt Lake – a side sitting just one point and one place above St Louis in the table.
While their campaign has been disappointing overall, this recent result suggests LA Galaxy might still find success against similarly struggling opposition. The match presents an opportunity for either side to gain crucial momentum in what’s been a difficult season for both.
Match Stats: Neither side in good form
Neither side has impressed defensively this season, which comes as little surprise given their positions near the foot of the Western Conference. LA Galaxy have been particularly vulnerable, conceding a league high 36 goals – with 21 of those coming away from home (58%). Their defensive frailties have been a major factor in their struggles.
St Louis have shown slightly more resilience at home, avoiding defeat in five of their eight matches at CityPark. While they’ve only converted two of those into victories, it still compares favorably to LA Galaxy’s dismal away record – seven defeats from nine road trips without a single win. The hosts will fancy their chances against such vulnerable opposition.
The previous meeting between these sides in March saw St Louis cruise to a comfortable 3-0 victory, highlighting their superiority over Galaxy this season. That comprehensive win should give them added confidence heading into this fixture.
With St Louis’ decent home form contrasting sharply with Galaxy’s travel woes, and given the comprehensive nature of their earlier victory, the hosts appear well placed to at least avoid defeat in this crucial basement battle. Another positive result could prove vital in their bid to climb away from the foot of the table.
Predictions –
- St Louis to win @ 2.1
- St Louis 2+ goals scored @ 1.83
- BTTS @ 1.5
Shot Stats: Christian Ramirez the most likely threat
Unsurprisingly, the attacking talent on display in this clash will be limited given how both sides have performed so far this season, but this matchup could see more joy in the final third for both sides given how loose their backlines have been. Christian Ramirez is LA Galaxy’s top scorer this season, with four goals across his 16 appearances in the MLS.
He’s scored 26% of LA Galaxy’s goals in the MLS, underscoring his importance to the side. LA Galaxy should be able to create chances here against a St Louis side that has conceded 23 goals across their 17 MLS games. The challenge for LA Galaxy will be keeping them out at the other end, which may force the away side to throw caution to the wind if they want to secure only their second win of the campaign.
Ramirez brings an experience which is necessary for LA Galaxy if they want to find a way out of the position they currently find themselves in and make a late charge for the playoff spots. At 34 years old, Ramirez can offer a calm head to a frantic LA Galaxy outfit, in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides, Ramirez had two shots with one of these efforts finding the target – LA Galaxy had 23 attempts overall with eight of these finding the target.
Predictions –
- Christian Ramirez 2+ shots @ 1.33
- Christian Ramirez 1+ shots on target @ 1.53
- Christian Ramirez to score anytime @ 3.25
Card Stats: Look to the under markets
In the most recent meeting between the sides, there were only 14 fouls exchanged and three yellow cards brandished, which suggests a similarly cagey and limited contact affair here. Both sides came in under their foul averages for the season, with LA Galaxy committing eight fouls and St Louis only infringing on six occasions.
Neither of these sides has posted particularly standout numbers when it comes to fouls and cards in the MLS this season. St Louis have picked up 33 yellow cards across their 17 games this campaign (1.94 per game) while LA Galaxy have only received four more cautions over the same number of games (2.17 per game).
LA Galaxy may be the more likely to pick up cautions based on this record and when also considering the fact that they are away from home here, where they have a pretty poor record – losing seven of their nine away games this season without even registering a win. The frustration of the away side is an angle worth considering but based on the recent clash between these sides, this shouldn’t be an ultra aggressive affair.
Predictions –
- Under 5 match cards @ ?
- LA Galaxy to be shown the most cards @ ?
By: @AndysBetClubUK
Featured Image: @GabFoligno / Matthew Ashton – AMA – Getty / Patrick T. Fallon – AFP
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