PSG v Inter Bet Builder Stats & Predictions
PSG v Inter
Kick Off: 20:00, Saturday 31st May
Competition: Champions League
Watch Live: TNT Sports
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PSG will aim to win their first ever Champions League title as they face Inter Milan, a team looking to complete their trophy haul under manager Simone Inzaghi, who narrowly missed out on lifting the trophy in 2023. PSG had a slow start to the campaign but have steadily improved under Luis Enrique, who has built a dynamic and hardworking squad that excels both with and without the ball. Meanwhile, Inter are making their seventh appearance in a European Cup/Champions League final. They’ve been formidable in the competition this season, losing just one of their 14 games.
Match Stats: Inter have been consistent in the Champions League
Inter Milan have been one of the toughest teams to beat in this season’s Champions League, losing just once in 14 matches (v Bayer Leverkusen). They are unbeaten in their last eight European games (W6, D2) and have avoided defeat in their last six matches across all competitions.
What makes their run even more impressive is how rarely they’ve trailed. In 1,260 minutes of Champions League football, Simone Inzaghi’s side have been behind for only 16 minutes – a remarkable stat that underscores their control in high pressure matches. This resilience is even more notable given their opponents: Inter have faced Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen, Arsenal, and Man City this campaign, yet still dominated for long stretches.
When they have fallen behind, Inter have responded quickly. Barcelona and Bayern Munich only managed to stay ahead for a combined six minutes in the knockout stages before the Nerazzurri fought back. After recently missing out on the Coppa Italia and Serie A title, Inzaghi’s men will be even more determined to lift the trophy here.
Why PSG are Vying for their First Champions League Title under Luis Enrique
Predictions:
- Inter Milan or Draw @ 1.62
- Inter to score @ 1.33
Shot Stats: Martinez and Dembele the standouts
Lautaro Martinez has been instrumental in Inter Milan’s Champions League run, scoring nine goals in 14 appearances – a testament to his lethal finishing in Europe’s elite competition. The Argentine striker averages 2.70 shots per 90 minutes, with an impressive 2.11 on target, showcasing his ability to consistently test goalkeepers. His 78% shot accuracy highlights just how efficient he has been in front of goal.
Martínez has stepped up in crucial moments, finding the net in three of his last four Champions League games, including decisive strikes against heavyweights like Bayern Munich and Barcelona in the knockout stages. His knack for scoring in high pressure matches has been pivotal to Inter’s deep run in the tournament.
His sharp form isn’t limited to Europe, Martinez has been just as reliable in Serie A, averaging 1.19 shots on target per 90 minutes across 31 league appearances. Whether domestically or in the Champions League, his ability to convert chances has made him Inter’s most dependable attacking threat this season.
Ousmane Dembele has been the spark behind PSG’s attacking dominance this season, delivering 44 goal contributions in 48 matches (33 goals, 11 assists) across all competitions. The French winger has carried that form into the Champions League, directly influencing 12 goals in 14 appearances – a crucial factor in PSG’s run to the final.
Dembele has thrived under pressure in the knockout stages, making decisive impacts in both legs of the quarter-finals and semi-finals against Aston Villa and Arsenal. His clutch goal at Anfield in the Round of 16 further cemented his reputation as a big game player, proving he can deliver when his team needs him most, a trait that was previously questioned.
With his electrifying pace, creativity, and clinical finishing, Dembele has become indispensable to Luis Enrique’s system. If he shines in the final and helps PSG lift their first Champions League trophy, he could solidify his case for the Ballon d’Or.
Predictions:
- Lautaro Martinez 1+ shots on target @ 1.5
- Lautaro Martinez to score anytime @ 3.4
- Ousmane Dembele to score/assist @ 2.1
Foul & Card Stats: Look to Joao Neves and Denzel Dumfries
Denzel Dumfries proved decisive in Inter’s semi-final triumph over Barcelona, contributing to five goals across both legs with his marauding runs and pinpoint deliveries. However, his defensive discipline could be a concern against PSG’s dynamic attack, particularly when facing the pace and trickery of Bradley Barcola (0.90 fouls won per 90 in Ligue 1) and the relentless Nuno Mendes (26 fouls won in 15 UCL apps – 1.71 per 90). The Dutch wing-back’s aggressive style has landed him in trouble this season:
- 4 yellow cards in Serie A (only Çalhanoğlu has more for Inter)
- 2 additional bookings in the Champions League
His tendency to dive into challenges could be exploited by PSG’s left-sided threats, especially if Mendes targets him in 1v1 duels. While Dumfries offers attacking brilliance, his recklessness might force Inter into dangerous defensive situations on Saturday.
A hallmark of PSG’s Champions League campaign has been their relentless off the ball work. Under Luis Enrique, the Parisians have perfected an aggressive counter press, swarming opponents high up the pitch to win back possession within seconds of losing it. This high-octane approach has suffocated rivals and fuelled their dominant European run.
At the heart of this system is Joao Neves, whose combative midfield presence has been vital. In 16 UCL appearances, the Portuguese enforcer has committed 23 fouls (1.53 per 90), a testament to his disruptive style. His semi final masterclass against Arsenal highlighted his importance: Five fouls and seven tackles across two legs, constantly breaking up play and triggering transitions.
Neves embodies PSG’s tactical identity: relentless in the challenge, intelligent in positioning, and tireless in recycling possession. His ability to smother attacks before they develop has been key to neutralizing opponents, and could prove decisive against Inter’s build-up play in the final.
Predictions:
- Joao Neves 1+ fouls committed in the first half @ 2.0
- Joao Neves to be shown a card @ 4.33
- Denzel Dumfries to be shown a card @ 4.5
By: @AndysBetClubUK
Featured Image: @GabFoligno / Getty Images
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