Real Valladolid v Real Madrid Bet Builder Stats & Predictions
Real Valladolid v Real Madrid
Kick Off: Saturday 25th January, 20:00
Competition: La Liga
Watch Live: Premier Sports 2/LaLiga TV UK
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Real Madrid travel to struggling Real Valladolid, with the home side currently sitting bottom of La Liga and 5 points from safety, having won just 4 of their 20 league games this season.
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Real Madrid currently sit at the summit of the table, 2 points clear of title challengers and neighbours Atletico Madrid as well as 7 points clear of Hansi Flick’s Barcelona. With it being so tight at the top between the Madrid sides, it is essential that Real Madrid take all 3 points here with Atletico Madrid welcoming Villarreal earlier in the day.
Match Stats – Real Madrid to dominate
Real Madrid have made light work of the weaker sides in La Liga this season, they’ve won 14 of their 20 league games scoring 47 goals in the process. Their away form has been a bit more problematic compared to their performances at the Bernabeu with 4 draws from their 10 away fixtures, but their superior quality should still prove too much for a struggling Real Valladolid side.
By contrast, Real Valladolid have really struggled to find any momentum this season. Diego Cocca’s side will know they are up against it here and should employ a low block to try and take something from the game. They are the joint-lowest scorers in the division having only scored 14 goals in La Liga this term, and their defensive record isn’t much better – they’ve conceded more goals than any other team in Spain’s top division this campaign (39).
Real Madrid comfortably swept aside Real Valladolid in the initial meeting between the sides. Valverde, Diaz and Endrick wrapped up a 3-0 victory in which Carlo Ancelloti’s side had the lion’s share of possession (64%) and generated 3 big chances, culminating in an xG of 2.14 which was far superior to their opponents’ (0.42) – Real Valladolid didn’t even manage a shot on target in the game.
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The victories Real Valladolid have registered of late have been in close games, their 2 most recent victories were by 1-0 scorelines against struggling Valencia and Real Betis sides, it’s unlikely that they’ll be able to cope with the star studded attacking quality of Real Madrid’s frontline, which should result in a comfortable win for Los Blancos.
Predictions:
- Real Madrid to win @ 1.27
- Real Madrid -1 handicap @ 1.72
Shot Stats – Mbappe and Rodrygo the standouts
Real Madrid boast tremendous quality across their frontline but Mbappe and Rodrygo are the most threatening and can cause Real Valladolid real problems. In the absence of Vinicius Jr, Rodrygo should be afforded more opportunities to trouble the opposition backline.
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Real Madrid managed 17 shots in the initial meeting between these sides at the Bernabeu earlier in the season, Carlo Ancelloti rotated his side in places but Mbappe and Rodrygo both started the game. Between them, the pair had 4 shots, which is actually slightly below their average outputs for the season. Mbappe is averaging 4.63 shots per 90 and 2.43 shots on target per 90 whilst Rodrygo is averaging 2.30 shots per 90 and 1.11 shots on target per 90.
Mbappe and Rodrygo are taking the most shots in the Madrid squad with Vinicus Jr excluded and also have a combined output of 24 goal contributions this season – almost double the output of the entire Real Valladolid squad – further emphasising the gulf in class between these sides.
Real Valladolid are averaging 15.4 shots conceded per game in La Liga this season, we can expect Real Madrid to exceed this average with their range of attacking talent. The bottom placed La Liga side has suffered an aggregate 15-0 defeat to the top 3 sides in the division this term.
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Predictions:
- Kylian Mbappe 2+ shots on target @ 1.36
- Rodrygo 3+ shots @ 1.44
- Real Madrid 17+ shots @ 1.83
Card Stats – Kike Perez one to watch
As well as holding the unfortunate records as the lowest scorers and the most vulnerable defence in La Liga, Real Valladolid have also collected more cautions than any other team in the division (56). The lack of quality throughout the side is forcing Diego Cocca’s side to commit fouls and pick up needless yellow cards. They’re averaging 13.4 fouls committed per 90 in La Liga, which is a record only bettered by 6 sides.
Kike Perez stands out as someone that could struggle in this fixture, he’s collected 6 yellow cards across his 18 LaLiga appearances this season whilst averaging 2.46 fouls committed per 90. He’ll be up against Jude Bellingham who has won an impressive 35 fouls across his 16 La Liga appearances this season (2.38 per 90).
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Perez committed 3 fouls in the initial meeting between the sides at the Bernabeu and was very fortunate to avoid a yellow card. He contested a match-high 17 duels, losing 9 of these which was also the most of any player on the pitch.
The referee for this game is Mateo Busquets who is averaging 5.91 yellow cards per game this season, you would expect the majority of these to be shown to Real Valladolid as the side without the ball, with Kike Perez’s numbers lining up nicely to be shown a card in this encounter.
Predictions:
- Kike Perez to receive a card @ 3.0
- Kike Perez 2+ fouls committed @ 1.3
- Jude Bellingham 2+ fouls won @ 1.53
By: @AndysBetClubUK
Featured Image: @GabFoligno / Angel Martinez / Getty Images
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