Botafogo v Flamengo Bet Builder Stats & Predictions
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Match Odds: Correct Score Prediction
Flamengo had 10 days during the FIFA break to rest and train its squad. This time could be the team’s big advantage in the final stretch of the season. On the other side, Botafogo is dealing with a long list of absences. Therefore, even playing at Nilton Santos, Flamengo is favored to take all 3 points in a match likely to feature multiple goals.
“It’s Time to Set Fire” – John Textor’s Brazilian Battle to Reignite Botafogo
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2
Fouls and Cards: Heated Derby
Since this is a derby between two teams fighting at the top of the table, the expectation is for a tense match. In the first-round clash, which ended 0-0 at Maracanã, five cards were shown — one to Flamengo and four to Botafogo.
Although neither team ranks among those with the highest card averages in the league, the match context and emotional weight of a rivalry could be decisive factors for a more heated encounter.
The referee assigned to this match is Alex Gomes Stefano, who leads the 2025 Brazilian Série A in fouls called, averaging 34 per game across 16 matches officiated. Considering the importance of the game, the tension typical of a derby, and the referee’s strict style, it’s likely we’ll see a high number of fouls and possibly several bookings. Stefano averages five cards per match and also tops the league in penalties awarded, with seven so far.
Alexander Barboza to commit 2+ fouls @ 1.44
Giorgian de Arrascaeta to win 2+ fouls @ 1.44
Marlon Freitas to win 1+ fouls @ 2.10
Goalscorers: Players Who Can Make the Difference
Botafogo needs a victory to stay in the chase for Mirassol and the last spot in the top four — which would secure a direct berth in the 2026 Copa Libertadores. Flamengo, on the other hand, also wants the 3 points to keep Palmeiras from pulling away at the top of the Série A table.
The nature of the “Clássico da Rivalidade” supports this outlook, as 5 of the last 8 meetings between Botafogo and Flamengo ended with 2 or more goals, averaging 2.6 goals per match. The recent form of both teams follows a similar pattern: combining league and cup games, 8 of Botafogo’s last 10 matches and 7 of Flamengo’s last 10 have featured multiple goals.
In this year’s Brasileirão, Botafogo has scored 37 goals and conceded 23 in 27 matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game. With the 6th-best attack in the league, the Glorioso will face the most effective offensive system among Brazilian clubs in 2025. Flamengo has found the net 50 times in 26 matches, maintaining a nearly 2-goal-per-game average. Defensively, the Rubro-Negro also leads the competition, having been breached only 13 times.
Pedro to score anytime @ 2.80
Giorgian de Arrascaeta to score or assist anytime @ 2.30
Santiago Rodriguez to score or assist anytime @ 3.20
By: @APalpites
Featured Image: @GabFoligno / Buda Mendes / Getty Images