
Portugal v Norway Bet Builder Stats & Predictions
My bet builder tips for Portugal v Norway on October 4th 2026.
Kick-off: 19:45 BST, Sunday 4th October
Competition: UEFA Nations League
Watch Live: Amazon Prime Video
Andy is back for the return leg in Porto with football tips for Portugal v Norway.
Make sure to head over to Andy's Bet Club, where you can access the latest free betting offers and stats for all upcoming football fixtures.
Match Stats: Portugal Firing Without Ronaldo
Portugal have won all three of their Nations League games and sit six points clear at the top of Group 4.
Thursday's 4-2 win in Copenhagen came barely 24 hours after Cristiano Ronaldo walked out of camp following a row with Jorge Jesus over being benched again.
It didn't impact them, as Joao Cancelo, Goncalo Ramos, Vitinha and Joao Felix all got on the scoresheet.
Norway, meanwhile, lost 2-1 to Wales in Cardiff on Thursday, with Oscar Bobb's early opener undone once Torbjorn Heggem's red card flipped the game.
Last Sunday's meeting in Oslo was a smash-and-grab. Norway had 62% of the ball, 22 shots to Portugal's 12 and won the xG battle 2.88 to 0.87, but an Orjan Nyland howler gifted Ramos the winner.
Stale Solbakken's side will create chances in Porto, but Portugal have the cutting edge, and goals at both ends look likely. Norway had scored and conceded in 13 of their 14 games before this double-header, and both games since have gone the same way.
Predictions -
Portugal to Win @ 1.57
Both Teams to Score @ 1.50
Shot Stats: Haaland Due a Bounce-Back
Erling Haaland drew a rare blank in Cardiff, managing just two efforts, but I wouldn't read too much into it.
He had scored in 16 of his last 17 competitive games for Norway before Thursday, found the net against Ruben Dias in Oslo, and is averaging four shots on target per game in this Nations League campaign.
With Martin Odegaard back fit and pulling the strings, he should be a threat to Diogo Costa's goal again.
At the other end, Goncalo Ramos has grabbed his chance since replacing Ronaldo, scoring in both games.
He hit the post and forced a save from Mads Hermansen in Copenhagen, as Portugal racked up 19 shots with ten on target, and Nyland is under fire back home after another shaky night.
Haaland had four shots on target in the reverse leg, and Ramos had one. Given that he's taken the reins from Ronaldo and scored midweek, this should buoy him to be a bigger threat.
Predictions -
Erling Haaland to have 2+ Shots on Target @ 1.40
Goncalo Ramos to have 2+ Shots on Target @ 1.73
Foul Stats: Moller Wolfe Under Siege and Mendes in the Wars
The Oslo game was a feisty affair, with nine yellow cards and 20 fouls, so expect more of the same in Porto.
David Moller Wolfe is the standout foul pick. He's back from suspension after his late red against Denmark and is averaging two fouls per game in this competition.
If predicted line-ups are to go by, he's at left-back, which puts him up against Pedro Neto with Joao Cancelo bombing on from behind.
Nuno Mendes looks a likely candidate to be fouled for Portugal.
He drove forward to start the move for Felix's opener in Oslo, and Julian Ryerson, who was booked inside 16 minutes that night, will be tasked with stopping him and Rafael Leao down the same side.
Predictions -
David Moller Wolfe to Commit 2+ Fouls @ 1.67
Nuno Mendes to be Fouled 2+ Times @ 1.44
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