Seven Players with the Highest Odds of Winning the 2025 Ballon d’Or
The Ballon d’Or is arguably the most prestigious individual award in football, presented to the player deemed to have been the top in the world. This is a highly sought-after award that generates plenty of fan interest, as well as substantial betting from gamblers online.
Sportsbooks provide the odds of the players with the highest likelihood of receiving this legendary award. The odds shift as the season progresses. As we move deeper into 2025, the odds have shifted heavily, suggesting there are some new favourites to be aware of. Let’s look at some of the top players favoured for the 2025 Ballon d’Or.
Lamine Yamal (+150)
Lamine Yamal is the current favourite on all websites that allow betting on soccer for this award. If Yamal were to win, he would easily become the youngest player ever to receive the award, at just 18 years old. Yamal has established himself this season as a generational talent. He has been dominant as a winger for a Barcelona side that has the potential to earn a treble this season. Yamal has been exceptional in the Champions League and La Liga. Across all competitions, he has 15 goals and 24 assists in 49 games, making for a one-of-a-kind combination of scoring and playmaking.
Raphinha (+225)
Raphinha is another Barcelona player who has exploded this season. Fans have been waiting for Raphinha to take this kind of step forward for years, and the Brazilian star has finally done so. He has shown himself as a world-class forward for Hansi Flick’s side and has been one of the biggest favourites for awards on betting sites since early in the season. His stats are mind-boggling. Across all competitions, he has 30 goals and 25 assists in 51 games. Raphinha has saved his best for the Champions League, which has further elevated his status.
Ousmane Dembele (+400)
Paris Saint-Germain was supposed to take a major step back this season after the departure of Kylian Mbappe. But Ousmane Dembele has played a big part in ensuring that hasn’t happened, and the team is currently in the driver’s seat to play in the Champions League final. Dembele has been a massive part of this. He is delivering on the biggest stage for a PSG squad that has looked unstoppable. Betting sites have lifted him close to the top of the rankings for this Dembele has 33 goals and 12 assists in 45 matches across competitions this year and is one of the most prolific players on the planet.
Mohamed Salah (+800)
It may be surprising to see Mohamed Salah listed this low on the odds rankings. Salah has been an absolute wizard this season. He has already locked up a Premier League victory for Liverpool and has been the best player in the most difficult league in Europe. Salah is on pace to shatter the goal-contribution record for the Premier League. He has blended his prototypical goal-scoring talent with a penchant for finding the open man, and he is the engine that drives a highly talented Liverpool squad. This is likely Salah’s finest year, but he still finds himself below several other players whose teams have progressed further in the Champions League.
Pedri (+900)
Pedri lacks the flashy statistics of many of his contemporaries on this list, but that is part of the nature of what he does. Pedri’s role as a midfielder involves him controlling the pace of the game, dominating possession and driving things forward for Barcelona. He has been fundamental to everything the team has accomplished this year. He is widely considered the top player at his position on the planet and has generated plenty of Ballon d’Or chatter. While his odds are still at a longshot level, don’t underestimate this Spanish superstar, who has a similar case to Rodri, who earned this coveted award last year.
Robert Lewandowski (+1400)
Yet another Barcelona player makes this list in Robert Lewandowski. Lewandowski is nearing the end of a legendary career as a world-class striker, but he continues to be dominant for Barcelona. The Polish superstar has never won this award despite coming incredibly close. He has scored 40 goals across all competitions this year, a magnificent performance that positions him in the conversation. However, he may be too far down in the rankings to surge to the top.
Lautaro Martinez (+1600)
Lastly, we have Lautaro Martinez. The Inter Milan captain has been phenomenal once again this season. He has brought Inter Milan to the Champions League semi-final and has the team in a tight race for the top of the Serie A table. The Argentinian star has scored 21 goals and 6 assists across 47 matches this season. He is a gifted forward who is a clubhouse leader and dynamic talent. While he has recently suffered an injury, this has been a legendary season for Martinez.