Australia v Türkiye Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Austria v Türkiye 

Kick Off: 5:00am, Sunday 14th June

Competition: World Cup 

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Match Stats: The most open group?

 

This is the most unpredictable group at the World Cup for me, and the betting market reflects that with no side being a clear favourite to top it, or even progress through to the knockout stages.

 

Australia and Türkiye have been drawn with one of the host nations, USA, and a stubborn Paraguay side, which makes this a group that could really spring some surprises. I do think Türkiye are the strongest side in the group, and I expect them to show that here with a strong start.

 

Türkiye’s games during qualifying were really entertaining, their six matches produced 29 goals (4.83 per game) and I expect them to continue in that end-to-end manner at this World Cup, leaning on the quality of their forward line, which is stacked with talent and centred around Arda Guler. 

 

Australia are going a bit under the radar. They have some emerging talent themselves, such as Nestory Irankunda, but they are not as complete as Turkiye, which should see Vincenzo Montella’s side get off to a decent start at the World Cup. I’d lean towards goals rather than backing Turkiye for a win, though, purely because of the price – 1.70 is a tad low for me to back Turkiye as winners.

 

Predictions –

 

Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30

Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 

Shots Stats: Irankunda & Guler Ones to Watch 

 

I touched on some of the talent that is in this Australian side above, and the one to keep an eye on for me is Nestory Irankunda. He was touted as a sensation when he signed for Bayern Munich a few years back, but never quite managed to develop as he needed to at the club. He had enjoyed a decent season for Watford, and his pace makes him a player who can impact this World Cup.

 

I think his shots line is pretty generous, with 2+ efforts priced at 1.83. He averaged just shy of 3.0 shots per 90 with Watford during the 25/26 campaign, netting four goals in the process. He also maintained a shot average of 3.27 shots per 90 for Australia during qualifying, scoring one goal across his three starts. If Türkiye get over confident at times, which is quite likely, I think Irankunda can benefit from his speed and direct nature to give Australia that outlet.

 

From a Turkish perspective, I think Guler will be the key man again – just as he was during the European Championship. He’s such a talented player, and doesn’t always get to be the main man at Real Madrid, but benefits from Turkiye being built around him on the international stage. He registered five goal contributions across seven starts during qualifying, maintaining a shot average of 2.36 efforts per 90. This is not too dissimilar to his club record (2.18 per 90) during the 25/26 campaign.

 

Predictions –

Nestory Irankunda 2+ shots @ 1.83

Arda Guler 2+ shots @ 1.30

Cards Stats: Türkiye’s aggression underrated in the market 

 

The top players in the betting market here for cards are all Australian players, which is a little surprising for me, given how aggressive Turkiye can be. The market has been set up in this way as Turkiye are expected to be the dominant side throughout the encounter, but I think there is a real opportunity to back Turkish players for cautions – particularly those in the backline.

 

Australia are set up to be a counter-attacking team with the speed they have in forward areas. I’ve already touched on Irankunda as an outlet, and I expect his runs in behind the Turkish backline to be a problem. His direct opponent is set to be Zeki Celik, who is priced at 4.33 to pick up a card here and is as short as 1.28 to commit a single foul.

 

Predictions 

Zeki Celik 2+ fouls @ 2.25

Zeki Celik card @ 4.33 

By: @AndysBetClubUK

Featured Image: @GabFoligno / Anadolu Agency

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